Last night’s 4-1 victory over Wigan has opened up a series of very interesting possibilities for the final placings of the season.
As
it stands, a victory against Newcastle on Sunday guarantees at least fourth place,
with an Everton victory over Chelsea giving us third.
However, if Arsenal win and Chelsea are held to a draw, we could be in for an unprecedented event.
It
would have to be a very specific set of results. Right now, Chelsea are
two points ahead of Arsenal, with 2 more goals scored and 1 fewer
conceded, giving them +1 goal difference.
Hence, if Arsenal beat
Newcastle 2-1 and Chelsea draw 0-0, the two sides would have equal
points, goals scored and conceded, and goal difference.
In this highly unlikely yet eminently possible case, head-to-head would
be ignored, fortunately for Arsenal. Chelsea won both PL games 2-1
this season, but head-to-head has never been favoured in England. So
it would go a play-off at a neutral venue, to decide who qualifies
automatically for the CL and who goes into the qualifying round.
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